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SENTINEL-AI

Space-Based Surveillance & AI Threat Detection
Hardware requirements, satellite & radar counts, and full cost breakdown for a real-time LEO surveillance system with AI threat recognition.
300–500
Satellites (global)
12
Ground stations
$8.74B
Total programme cost
<30s
Alert latency (Phase 3)
Section 01
Hardware & Systems Required

A — Satellite Constellation

Three satellite types flown in combination across 12 orbital planes at 500–700 km altitude. Each carries onboard AI edge processors for real-time triage before downlink.

1. Electro-Optical (EO) — Visual Imaging

SpecDetail
PurposeHigh-resolution daylight visual imagery, object identification
Resolution (GSD)0.3m–0.5m per pixel
Swath width20–30 km per pass
Video modeUp to 30 fps
Camera vendorsAirbus Defence, Harris Corporation, Thales Alenia
Satellite bus vendorsAirbus, Northrop Grumman, Surrey Satellite Technology
Unit cost$15M–$40M per satellite
Quantity neededPhase 1: 15  |  Phase 2: 60  |  Phase 3: 150+

2. Infrared (IR) / Thermal — Heat & Missile Detection

SpecDetail
PurposeDetect rocket plumes, nuclear detonations, engine exhaust, industrial heat signatures
Spectral bandsMWIR 3–5 μm  |  LWIR 8–12 μm
Missile plume detectionVisible within 2–5 seconds of launch ignition
Nuclear flash detection1–5 seconds post-detonation
Sensor vendorsL3Harris, Ball Aerospace, Teledyne FLIR
Reference heritageUS SBIRS, DSP satellites (proven programme)
Unit cost$20M–$80M per satellite
Quantity neededPhase 1: 10  |  Phase 2: 40  |  Phase 3: 100+

3. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) — All-Weather Imaging

SpecDetail
PurposePenetrates clouds, works at night, sees through camouflage netting
Resolution0.25m–1m
All-weatherUnaffected by cloud cover or darkness
Payload vendorsMDA Space, Airbus, Thales
Reference systemsCapella Space, ICEYE, Umbra (commercial)
Unit cost$10M–$30M per satellite
Quantity neededPhase 1: 8  |  Phase 2: 35  |  Phase 3: 80+

4. Onboard AI Processor (fitted on every satellite)

SpecDetail
PurposeEdge inference onboard — triage frames, flag threats, reduce downlink load 60–80%
ChipsetRadiation-hardened NPU — Ubotica, Spiral Technology, or custom rad-hard ASIC
Performance10–50 TOPS, real-time at 30fps, model size <50MB
Cost per unit$500K–$2M (included in satellite unit cost)

5. Inter-Satellite Laser Links (ISL)

SpecDetail
PurposeRelay alerts satellite-to-satellite without waiting for ground station contact
TechnologyFree-space optical laser terminals
VendorsMynaric, TESAT Spacecom
Cost per terminal$500K–$2M per satellite (added Phase 2 onward)

Satellite Count Summary

PhaseEOIRSARTotalCoverageRevisit Time
Phase 1 — Regional15108~33Europe / Middle East OR Indo-Pacific8–15 min
Phase 2 — Multi-Regional604035~1353–4 global regions3–6 min
Phase 3 — Global150+100+80+330–500Full global persistent<90 seconds

B — Ground Station Network

12 globally distributed stations ensure <90 second maximum satellite contact gap. Each station downlinks at 2–10 Gbps and runs local AI processing before forwarding to mission control.

EquipmentSpecificationCost per Station
Primary tracking antenna7.3m dish, X/Ka dual-band$2.5M
Backup antenna3.7m dish$800K
High-throughput modem array2–10 Gbps downlink throughput$500K
TT&C systemFull telemetry, tracking & command suite$1.2M
Secure data centreTier 3+, 200kW capacity$3M–$8M
GPU cluster (AI processing)8–32× NVIDIA H100 per station$3M–$12M
Fibre / MPLS backhaulDedicated encrypted line to mission control$200K–$1M/yr
Power + UPSN+1 redundancy$500K
Physical securityPerimeter, biometric access control$300K
Per station total$11M–$26M
12-station network total$132M–$312M

12 Global Ground Station Locations

LocationRegion CoveredRole
Svalbard, NorwayArctic / Northern EuropePrimary downlink hub
Fairbanks, AlaskaNorth America / ArcticPrimary downlink hub
Perth, AustraliaIndo-Pacific / Southern OceanPrimary downlink hub
Maspalomas, SpainEurope / AfricaPrimary downlink hub
Riyadh, Saudi ArabiaMiddle EastRegional hub
SingaporeSoutheast AsiaRegional hub
Nairobi, KenyaSub-Saharan AfricaRegional hub
Buenos Aires, ArgentinaSouth AmericaRegional hub
Tokyo, JapanNortheast AsiaRegional hub
Dubai, UAEMiddle East / South AsiaRegional hub
London, UKWestern EuropeMission control backup
Washington DC, USAPrimary Mission ControlHQ & C2

C — Ground-Based Radar Systems

Radar fills the gaps between satellite passes, providing continuous tracking and detection of low-flying threats invisible to optical sensors.

Long-Range RadarMedium-Range Radar
Detection range2,000–3,000 km400–800 km
Primary targetsICBMs, cruise missiles, aircraftDrones, low-altitude cruise missiles
TechnologyAESA (Active Electronically Scanned Array)AESA / PESA
Procurement examplesRaytheon AN/TPY-2, LRDRThales Ground Master 400
Unit cost$200M–$500M$20M–$60M
Quantity recommended4 systems8 systems
Radar layer total$960M–$2.5B (Phase 3 proprietary build-out)
Phase 1 recommendation: License existing national radar data feeds (NORAD, NATO Air Defence) at $5M–$50M/yr rather than building proprietary radar. Own radar deployment from Phase 2 onward.

D — AI & Computing Infrastructure

ComponentSpecificationCost
Mission control GPU cluster500–2,000× NVIDIA H100 (or B200 class)$150M–$600M
Ground station GPU clusters8–32× H100 per site × 12 sites$36M–$144M
AI software developmentObject detection, tracking, fusion, trajectory modelling$40M–$80M
Training data & labelling10M+ annotated frames, 100M+ radar tracks$20M–$40M
Cybersecurity stackAES-256, HSMs, zero-trust architecture$15M–$30M
AI infrastructure total$261M–$894M

E — Launch Services

Launch VehicleSatellites per LaunchCost per Launch
SpaceX Falcon 9 (rideshare)5–15 small/medium sats$4M–$7M
SpaceX Falcon Heavy15–30 sats$10M–$15M
Arianespace Vega-C / Ariane 65–20 sats$5M–$20M
RocketLab Electron1–3 sats (dedicated)$7M–$10M
Total launch cost (full programme)~$900M
Section 02
Full Cost Breakdown

Phase-by-Phase Capital Expenditure

Phase 0 — Foundation
$120M
Months 1–18
  • Company setup + legal: $5M
  • ITU spectrum filing: $3M
  • System design (CDR): $15M
  • 130 staff × 18 months: $45M
  • AI platform v0.1: $20M
  • Prototype satellite + launch: $25M
  • Land acquisition (3 sites): $7M
Phase 1 — Regional
$1.32B
Months 18–42
  • 15 EO satellites: $375M
  • 10 IR satellites: $350M
  • 8 SAR satellites: $160M
  • 8 launches: $48M
  • 4 ground stations: $88M
  • AI infrastructure: $80M
  • AI software v1.0: $35M
  • Mission control: $20M
  • Contingency 10%: $120M
Phase 2 — Multi-Regional
$2.8B
Months 42–72
  • 110 more satellites: $1.8B
  • Launch services: $200M
  • 6 more ground stations: $120M
  • AI expand: $150M
  • AI software v2.0: $50M
  • ISL terminals: $100M
  • Operations 3yr: $180M
  • Contingency: $200M
Phase 3 — Global
$4.5B
Months 72–108
  • 200+ more satellites: $3.0B
  • Launch services: $400M
  • 2 more stations: $30M
  • Radar nodes: $250M
  • AI infrastructure v3.0: $200M
  • AI software v3.0: $80M
  • Operations 3yr: $300M
  • Contingency: $240M

Total Programme Cost

PhaseCostTimelineSatellites Deployed
Phase 0 — Foundation$120MMonths 1–181 (prototype)
Phase 1 — Regional Pilot$1.32BMonths 18–42~33
Phase 2 — Multi-Regional$2.8BMonths 42–72~145
Phase 3 — Global$4.5BMonths 72–108330–500
TOTAL (full programme)~$8.74B9 years330–500

Where the Money Goes

CategoryShareAmount
Satellites (hardware, sensors, onboard AI)~50%~$4.4B
Launch services~10%~$900M
Ground stations (antennas, data centres, equipment)~15%~$1.3B
AI infrastructure (GPU clusters, software, training)~12%~$1.05B
Operations, staff, R&D (9 years)~10%~$875M
Radar systems (Phase 3 only)~2.5%~$215M
Contingency / legal / regulatory~0.5%~$43M
TOTAL100%~$8.74B

Annual Operating Cost (Full Scale — Year 9+)

CategoryAnnual Cost
Satellite operations & maintenance$80M
Ground station operations (12 sites)$60M
AI compute & cloud infrastructure$80M
Staff (800–1,200 people)$200M
Satellite replenishment launches$100M
Cybersecurity & compliance$30M
Data licensing (radar, ADS-B, AIS, met feeds)$40M
R&D (continuous AI improvement)$100M
Total Annual OpEx~$690M/yr

Revenue vs Cost Projection

YearSatellitesRevenueEBITDA
Year 315$80M-$120M
Year 435$250M-$80M
Year 580$550M+$50M
Year 6150$1.1B+$300M
Year 7200$1.8B+$600M
Year 8300$2.8B+$980M
Year 9400+$4.2B+$1.7B

Investment Rounds

RoundAmountPurposeInvestor Type
Series A$120MPhase 0 — team, design, prototypeDefence VCs, sovereign wealth funds
Series B$400MPhase 1 first trancheDefence PE, NATO innovation funds
Series C$920MPhase 1 completionAirbus, L3Harris, Thales (strategic)
Series D$2.8BPhase 2Infrastructure funds, large PE
IPO / Phase 3$4.5BGlobal deploymentPublic markets + government co-invest
Total$8.74B9-year programme to global coverage
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